delax
07-20 01:32 PM
Guys,
The calculations below is not to scare anyone but it may very well a reality. Based on the assumptions below, some people may have to wait up to 20 months to get a EAD card: Ouch!
A Total I-485 Applicants: 750000 Applicants
B Each EAD processing time: 5 Minutes
C Total processing hrs: 62500 Hours
(Calculations: AxB/60)
D Daily productive Hours: 5 Hours
(It is a government body!)
E Total Man Days (Business Days): 12500 Man Days
(Calculations: C/D)
F EAD Workforce: 30 People
G Total Business Days: 417 Days
(Calculations: E/F)
H Average Business Days in a month: 21 Days
I Total Clearing Time : 20 Months
(Calculations: G/I)
Here's my estimate regarding the expected I-485 filings for July 2007 based on the approved LC petition data provided by DOL. See link below (Thanks ! DreamGC)
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pPp-1fPOWrpRSbOSVaat9ew
LC Approvals (Expected 485 filings in July 2007)
2007: 50000(50000) Estimated since data unavailabe
2006: 79782 (79782)
2005: 6133 (6133)
2004: 43582 (34866) 80% will file in July, 20% filed earlier
2003: 62912 (31456) 50% will file in July. The rest filed earlier.
2002: 79784 (Nil) Since more than 95% would have filed 485 earlier.
I am ignoring anything before 2002.
If you add up the numbers in parentheses the total is 202,236 - primary applicants. Assuming an average family size of 2 gives us 404,472 give or take 10%
I would say 80% of the 400k people may apply for EAD - that still makes it 320k EADs - the others may not want EAD right away or could be kids less than 14 years old.
The calculations below is not to scare anyone but it may very well a reality. Based on the assumptions below, some people may have to wait up to 20 months to get a EAD card: Ouch!
A Total I-485 Applicants: 750000 Applicants
B Each EAD processing time: 5 Minutes
C Total processing hrs: 62500 Hours
(Calculations: AxB/60)
D Daily productive Hours: 5 Hours
(It is a government body!)
E Total Man Days (Business Days): 12500 Man Days
(Calculations: C/D)
F EAD Workforce: 30 People
G Total Business Days: 417 Days
(Calculations: E/F)
H Average Business Days in a month: 21 Days
I Total Clearing Time : 20 Months
(Calculations: G/I)
Here's my estimate regarding the expected I-485 filings for July 2007 based on the approved LC petition data provided by DOL. See link below (Thanks ! DreamGC)
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pPp-1fPOWrpRSbOSVaat9ew
LC Approvals (Expected 485 filings in July 2007)
2007: 50000(50000) Estimated since data unavailabe
2006: 79782 (79782)
2005: 6133 (6133)
2004: 43582 (34866) 80% will file in July, 20% filed earlier
2003: 62912 (31456) 50% will file in July. The rest filed earlier.
2002: 79784 (Nil) Since more than 95% would have filed 485 earlier.
I am ignoring anything before 2002.
If you add up the numbers in parentheses the total is 202,236 - primary applicants. Assuming an average family size of 2 gives us 404,472 give or take 10%
I would say 80% of the 400k people may apply for EAD - that still makes it 320k EADs - the others may not want EAD right away or could be kids less than 14 years old.
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johnnybhai
07-14 01:18 PM
Mahatma - I could post the details here, but then it will be all over the place and wont get updated in case of changes. So please refer the 'Contribute Now' tab and look for Checks.
vkannan
03-12 05:06 PM
No LUDs. I had not checked my case status in the last 4 months and then I just received this email.
Dude
Interesting case, did you port your PD or??
Dude
Interesting case, did you port your PD or??
2011 water-saving campaign.
Sri_
07-15 08:37 PM
$50 (Fifty) by Bill Pay through BOFA
Confirmation No: 7YG2X-D5QCD
Sri_
Confirmation No: 7YG2X-D5QCD
Sri_
more...
pappu
08-02 11:38 AM
When you have these news articles ready...one of the easiest way to circulate them is using a news wire agency.
I have used http://www.prweb.com/ before for my company news releases. It is free and if you want a broader reach pay $80. It is very effective.
It is a good idea to release it when something related to immigration is going on in senate or house. During this time, all major news network pickup articles from these wires based on keywords like "immigration, border issue etc"
So make sure you add appropriate keywords when you do the release.
Thank you for the suggestion. Having a press release is a good idea when IV does something or any legislative event happens, IV can issue a press release at that time with an opinion.
I have used http://www.prweb.com/ before for my company news releases. It is free and if you want a broader reach pay $80. It is very effective.
It is a good idea to release it when something related to immigration is going on in senate or house. During this time, all major news network pickup articles from these wires based on keywords like "immigration, border issue etc"
So make sure you add appropriate keywords when you do the release.
Thank you for the suggestion. Having a press release is a good idea when IV does something or any legislative event happens, IV can issue a press release at that time with an opinion.
GotGC??
01-04 02:19 PM
One of the most balanced views on this topic I have heard!
I think life inside home is better in India than US. And life outside home is better in US than India. What do you think?
I am only son to my parents (aged 50s). I must go back whenever India sends a man or women to Moon. Just kidding.. Will go back by 201X.
Currently I am in India on a vacation of 45 days. I came to India with lot of enthu after a long gap of 2 years. But as someone said, India cannot be compared with US, outside home. And yea, USA can't be compared to India, inside home :D
I have to postpone the idea of returning for few more years for the following reasons, and yes, I want GC meanwhile.
_ Reasons to stay and stay longer in USA _
1) It's money, honey :D
2) A nice Indenpendant House in Vizag or Hyd. I am long way to get there. You know what I mean.
3) I haven't earned enough to copy & paste my lifestyle in US yet. I mean no car for my dad, no plasma tv in India, no 'retirement' fund for my parents so that they can live on their own. You know the rest.
4) My wife has just _resumed her career on H1B after being seated at home for 3 years on H4. As you can guess, we left hopes on EAD. My PD Nov 05. I would prefer that she work in USA for couple of years, before which we can return.
4) Last, but not least, I want to gather more "onsite" experience and go from programmer analyst to something I want to be, when I return to India.
_ Reasons to go back to India _
I belived in the philosiphy of helping yourself first, then family and then society.
0) Will come back to India to live with my aging parents.
1) Help my society (vote, pay taxes, charity, transfer of ideas from Western World, creation of employment and much more)
2) Enjoy food, movies, language, various cultures of India.
3) Travel world and not just USA - through my IT career.
I think life inside home is better in India than US. And life outside home is better in US than India. What do you think?
I am only son to my parents (aged 50s). I must go back whenever India sends a man or women to Moon. Just kidding.. Will go back by 201X.
Currently I am in India on a vacation of 45 days. I came to India with lot of enthu after a long gap of 2 years. But as someone said, India cannot be compared with US, outside home. And yea, USA can't be compared to India, inside home :D
I have to postpone the idea of returning for few more years for the following reasons, and yes, I want GC meanwhile.
_ Reasons to stay and stay longer in USA _
1) It's money, honey :D
2) A nice Indenpendant House in Vizag or Hyd. I am long way to get there. You know what I mean.
3) I haven't earned enough to copy & paste my lifestyle in US yet. I mean no car for my dad, no plasma tv in India, no 'retirement' fund for my parents so that they can live on their own. You know the rest.
4) My wife has just _resumed her career on H1B after being seated at home for 3 years on H4. As you can guess, we left hopes on EAD. My PD Nov 05. I would prefer that she work in USA for couple of years, before which we can return.
4) Last, but not least, I want to gather more "onsite" experience and go from programmer analyst to something I want to be, when I return to India.
_ Reasons to go back to India _
I belived in the philosiphy of helping yourself first, then family and then society.
0) Will come back to India to live with my aging parents.
1) Help my society (vote, pay taxes, charity, transfer of ideas from Western World, creation of employment and much more)
2) Enjoy food, movies, language, various cultures of India.
3) Travel world and not just USA - through my IT career.
more...
learning01
04-25 05:18 PM
Tell me, in any of the bills that came in 2005, PACE, CIR. Dream Act etc., or later, IS there even one mention or a discussion of changing the PD? Let's discuss more on how to bring out more into the open, the issues the H1 visa holders are facing from their small time employers in applying for permanent residence, backlog issues and how redtape is destroying these young men's goals, about lack of visa numbers.
Why there is even a provision in the last Senate bill, for illegals to SELF petition for GC, if employer doen't apply in 2 years. Let's discuss about a similar provision for H1 visa holders who are legally working here, paying taxes. Let's discuss even more important issue.
Why should we pay, SS Tax and Medicare if we are temporary workers. Let them START collecting once I-485 is applied.
This last point will resonate well with all It will be picked up easily; you will see the panic flying in the press, TVs, Senate and what not, when a simple mention of it is made.
These are the practical things we need to discuss. Not a theoritical PD definition, on which we have no locus standi.
I agree with this little bit but to implement will be tough. There are people coming into US on h1 and leaving every year from big indian consulting companies. It should be like below.
1. Priority date should be date when the person enters the country.
2. The person should have paid taxes consecutively for n years(n=3.4.5...)
3. This should be applicable only for H1 and not for any other visa categories.
If the above is not possible, then
1. Labor substiution should be allowed only for the person who is in US continiously for n years(n=3.4.5...) and paid taxes. With this approach, a new comer cannot get the exisitng labor. Win Win to all.
Why there is even a provision in the last Senate bill, for illegals to SELF petition for GC, if employer doen't apply in 2 years. Let's discuss about a similar provision for H1 visa holders who are legally working here, paying taxes. Let's discuss even more important issue.
Why should we pay, SS Tax and Medicare if we are temporary workers. Let them START collecting once I-485 is applied.
This last point will resonate well with all It will be picked up easily; you will see the panic flying in the press, TVs, Senate and what not, when a simple mention of it is made.
These are the practical things we need to discuss. Not a theoritical PD definition, on which we have no locus standi.
I agree with this little bit but to implement will be tough. There are people coming into US on h1 and leaving every year from big indian consulting companies. It should be like below.
1. Priority date should be date when the person enters the country.
2. The person should have paid taxes consecutively for n years(n=3.4.5...)
3. This should be applicable only for H1 and not for any other visa categories.
If the above is not possible, then
1. Labor substiution should be allowed only for the person who is in US continiously for n years(n=3.4.5...) and paid taxes. With this approach, a new comer cannot get the exisitng labor. Win Win to all.
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yabadaba
07-11 08:06 AM
I assume you like the new cutoff-dates ????
Rita ;)
love it....but thats only 1/2 of the battle...the other half is making sure uscis adjudicates my petition in the month of aug
Rita ;)
love it....but thats only 1/2 of the battle...the other half is making sure uscis adjudicates my petition in the month of aug
more...
Karthikthiru
09-12 12:04 PM
I will also start to work on this
Karthik
Karthik
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syzygy
09-15 04:05 PM
GCTest and et al if you have really raised 600 $ talk to good lawyer to sure the hell out of USCIS for its un accountability. This EB3 - EB3 rift is not going to help anyone but only USCIS. Take a chill pill and think carefully who has screwed us most -- IT IS USCIS. If you sue USCIS for unaccountability, changing rules at will and worst of all racial discrimination or new term for country based discrimination -- it is history waiting to happen.
There is no value or point in creating Eb3 - Eb2 rift. No category is better than either - all are equally and royally screwed by USCIS.
There is no value or point in creating Eb3 - Eb2 rift. No category is better than either - all are equally and royally screwed by USCIS.
more...
ramus
09-09 09:49 AM
Thanks for both, contributon and coming to rally....
My Contribution of $100 sent in today by Google. Will be attending the 18th Rally.
C U Guys!.
My Contribution of $100 sent in today by Google. Will be attending the 18th Rally.
C U Guys!.
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adde72
07-05 11:35 PM
Dugg! and posted a comment...
Please also digg comments.
Dugg and posted comment ... this is great chance for US ( legal immigrants ) to solve our issues ...please participate activly ....I can see the light
Please also digg comments.
Dugg and posted comment ... this is great chance for US ( legal immigrants ) to solve our issues ...please participate activly ....I can see the light
more...
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svr_76
09-14 06:20 PM
GCTest..you are right. I am with you.
Rather I would like to add more items to what u have listed-
1. Its wrong for EB2 filers to find/marry a us citizen. That will be unethical of them to do as they will be jumping lines. Because u would be unable to do if u would have married non-citizen..so based on GCTest's logic please dont marry us citizen or if u have marriued continue to only use you EB2 application for processing :-)
2. Also people who are now planning of using EB5 (assuming u have now saved/gather enough money). So EB2, EB3 or other people u have been saving money and are now thinking of risking ur money/career/life on EB5 filing..please dont do that...because that will be unethical.....u r doing it bcos u now have money. Per GCTest's logic u did not having money u filed ur EB2 or EB3 application so if u have money now...dont try to use it.
GCTest...can u think of other conditions ...do post them.
Oh yes corollary to #1. Also bachelors in EB2/EB3 category make sure u dont fall inlove and plan to marry any girl/boy from the countries which are current. Help GCTest's cause.
:-)
Rather I would like to add more items to what u have listed-
1. Its wrong for EB2 filers to find/marry a us citizen. That will be unethical of them to do as they will be jumping lines. Because u would be unable to do if u would have married non-citizen..so based on GCTest's logic please dont marry us citizen or if u have marriued continue to only use you EB2 application for processing :-)
2. Also people who are now planning of using EB5 (assuming u have now saved/gather enough money). So EB2, EB3 or other people u have been saving money and are now thinking of risking ur money/career/life on EB5 filing..please dont do that...because that will be unethical.....u r doing it bcos u now have money. Per GCTest's logic u did not having money u filed ur EB2 or EB3 application so if u have money now...dont try to use it.
GCTest...can u think of other conditions ...do post them.
Oh yes corollary to #1. Also bachelors in EB2/EB3 category make sure u dont fall inlove and plan to marry any girl/boy from the countries which are current. Help GCTest's cause.
:-)
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2BeeNot2Bee
09-14 06:45 PM
If Substution labor was ethical, PD porting from EB3 to EB2 is ethical.
Ithink PD Porting might be legal at this time but not ETHICAL.
If substitution was unethical, July 07 out-of-turn PD flood which has created a HUGE backlog is unethical, if that is unethical, PD porting is also unethical.
Ithink PD Porting might be legal at this time but not ETHICAL.
If substitution was unethical, July 07 out-of-turn PD flood which has created a HUGE backlog is unethical, if that is unethical, PD porting is also unethical.
more...
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CADude
11-14 05:21 PM
It's call reseach topic.. We have to find some USCIS support documents for each case. We need some earlier USCIS decisions for each senarios/theories.
RG provided few supporting CIS rules in earlier post and seems logical. But not sure if RG or RK is right.
It's confusing indeed.
I went thru' both links posted above in thread.
It seems that according to RG, EAD will remain valid till the time to file appeal (MTR), once appeal is filed the applicant would be able to work. He also suggested to go on EAD to save any time remaining from initial 6 years.
According to RK, EAD will be invalidated, person is to be deported as soon as CIS denies 485 in error. He strongly suggest NOT TO GO on EAD if some one has H1 as an option.
According to Chandu's blog, RK seems to be correct; but then RG is also a very reputed and experienced immigration lawyer.
What is correct? Both are 180 degree opposite to each other? Any one?
RG provided few supporting CIS rules in earlier post and seems logical. But not sure if RG or RK is right.
It's confusing indeed.
I went thru' both links posted above in thread.
It seems that according to RG, EAD will remain valid till the time to file appeal (MTR), once appeal is filed the applicant would be able to work. He also suggested to go on EAD to save any time remaining from initial 6 years.
According to RK, EAD will be invalidated, person is to be deported as soon as CIS denies 485 in error. He strongly suggest NOT TO GO on EAD if some one has H1 as an option.
According to Chandu's blog, RK seems to be correct; but then RG is also a very reputed and experienced immigration lawyer.
What is correct? Both are 180 degree opposite to each other? Any one?
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uma001
05-05 02:55 PM
Are you guys calling during work hours?
Are you guys calling from cell phone?
Are you guys calling from cell phone?
more...
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pappu
07-18 07:48 PM
Defense bill pulled after troop drawdawn measure fails
http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/07/18/us.iraq.ap/index.html
Immigration Amendments on War Bill Fall by Wayside
http://www.numbersusa.com/index
Do not worry. We are going to explore each and every small window of opportunity to get any or some provisions in as situation allows. What is most important for us is to not lose momentum and focus. EAD is just a temporary relief. People are now going to be stuck in EAD stage and dates will move slowly. Each year people will have to renew EADs. We need a fix to the problem and end retrogression.
http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/07/18/us.iraq.ap/index.html
Immigration Amendments on War Bill Fall by Wayside
http://www.numbersusa.com/index
Do not worry. We are going to explore each and every small window of opportunity to get any or some provisions in as situation allows. What is most important for us is to not lose momentum and focus. EAD is just a temporary relief. People are now going to be stuck in EAD stage and dates will move slowly. Each year people will have to renew EADs. We need a fix to the problem and end retrogression.
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sandiboy
08-10 09:13 PM
I just got mail from lawyer with the Receipt nos for myself & Spouse got online. Receipt notices not yet received.
Hang on there everyone will get it sooner or later
I485 Filed: Jul 2nd 7:55 AM (received by R.Williams)
Revd at : NSC
Transferred to TSC: No
ND: Aug 7th
I-140 approved: Jun 2006 @ TSC
EB3 PD - May 2002
Hang on there everyone will get it sooner or later
I485 Filed: Jul 2nd 7:55 AM (received by R.Williams)
Revd at : NSC
Transferred to TSC: No
ND: Aug 7th
I-140 approved: Jun 2006 @ TSC
EB3 PD - May 2002
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RN_Usa
07-31 11:39 AM
i m Nurse on h4 and waiting to finish my Nclex exam fast. Lack of nclex certificate make us loss the chance for applying for imigration petition..
amitjoey
01-04 04:58 PM
I see that a lot of us feel really stuck because of the long GC process and yet we continue to wait. Eventually we all want to have:
1. Freedom to switch jobs
2. Freedom to start businesses
3. Freedom to travel
4. Freedom to have spouse working
I hope and pray that it comes thru sooner than later for all of us. Let's say you get your GC in 1-2-x years. How many years after that would you go back? 2-3 or wait till you get US citizenship? Would you give up the GC after having spent 5+ years waiting and maybe a total of 8-10+ years in US?
For those of us who are thinking that I want to go back eventually, what steps do you plan to take once you get your GC? The reason I raise this question is, it was easy to adapt to a new place when you were young. 6-10 years later (and a couple of kids later :-) what are some of the things you intend to do make your transition homewards easier? Has anyone considered taking on positions with significant travel to India(or your home country) so that you can get accustomed to the lifestyle/work environment/business back home?
For me: Wait another 5-7 years, in the meantime yes, considering taking on positions with significant travel to India (where I am from). Investing and paying for building a home/apartment.
1. Freedom to switch jobs
2. Freedom to start businesses
3. Freedom to travel
4. Freedom to have spouse working
I hope and pray that it comes thru sooner than later for all of us. Let's say you get your GC in 1-2-x years. How many years after that would you go back? 2-3 or wait till you get US citizenship? Would you give up the GC after having spent 5+ years waiting and maybe a total of 8-10+ years in US?
For those of us who are thinking that I want to go back eventually, what steps do you plan to take once you get your GC? The reason I raise this question is, it was easy to adapt to a new place when you were young. 6-10 years later (and a couple of kids later :-) what are some of the things you intend to do make your transition homewards easier? Has anyone considered taking on positions with significant travel to India(or your home country) so that you can get accustomed to the lifestyle/work environment/business back home?
For me: Wait another 5-7 years, in the meantime yes, considering taking on positions with significant travel to India (where I am from). Investing and paying for building a home/apartment.
kannan
07-19 12:09 AM
Paid one time of Payment of $100 through Paypal (confirmation Number: 46W44575JB938171V), more to come.
Thanks to IV Team:)
Thanks to IV Team:)
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